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Poker Odds PDF Print E-mail

It's very important to understand the odds and probabilities in Texas Holdem. It's isn't the one and only deciding factor when making a decision, but it is one of several supporting arguments. And, fortunately, poker odds are really the easiest thing to master in Texas Holdem.


Here are some Texas Holdem poker probabilities of various scenarios so you can understand your chances when trying to make a winning hand. The pictures are examples of the hands and scenarios described.  Please click the following link for our Poker Odds Calculator 

 

 

Probability of Being Dealt:

A Pocket Pair:

5.9%
 

Pocket Rockets:

.45%
 

Two Suited Cards:

23.5%
 

Two Connected Cards:

15.7%
 

 

Probability of Flopping:

Probability of Being Dealt:

A Flush When Holding 2 Suited Cards:
Hole Cards:

Flopping:

.84%
 

A Flush Draw When Holding 2 Suited Cards:
Hole Cards:

Flopping:

11%
 

Trips or Quads When Holding a Pair:
Hole Cards:

Flopping:

11.8%

  A Pair When Holding Two Unpaired Cards:
Hole Cards:

Flopping:

32.4%
 

 

 

Turn & River Odds & Probabilities

After the flop, the decisions in Texas Holdem get a bit tougher on what your best action should be. Understanding pot odds will help in this part of the poker game.Probability of Hitting:

An Inside Straight Draw on the Turn or River:
Hole Cards:

Flop:

16.5%
   

An Open-Ended Straight Draw on the Turn or River:
Hole Cards:

Flop:

31.5%
   

A Flush Draw on the Turn or River:
Hole Cards:

Flop:

35%

A Flush Draw or Open-Ended Straight Draw on the Turn or River:
Hole Cards:

Flop:

54.1%
   

 

 

Odds & Probabilities of Hands Winning (Approximate)

Here are some common Texas Holdem poker hand match-ups, so you can see your approximate chances of winning.

Higher Pocket Pair vs. Lower Pocket Pair
  81.5%
  18.5%
   

Over-Cards vs. Lower Pocket Pair
  46%
  54%
   

Dominated Hand
  75%
  25%
 

Severely Dominated Hand
  92.6%
  7.4%
 

Two Unsuited Overcards vs. Two Unsuited Undercards
  63%
  37%

  67%
  33%
 

 
   
Poker HandHow many ways the hand can be madeOdds of Getting the Hand
Royal Flush41 in 649,740.00
Straight Flush361 in 72,193.33
Four of a Kind6241 in 4,165.00
Full House3,7441 in 694.16
Flush5,1081 in 508.80
Straight10,2001 in 254.80
Three of a Kind54,9121 in 47.32
Two Pairs123,5521 in 21.03
One Pair1,098,2401 in 2.36
No Pair Hand1,302,5401 in 1.99

 

Though the above odds actually apply to a five card draw they still show the relative odds of drawing any poker hands. Since you actually get 5 community cards as well as your two pocket cards to make your hand in Hold'em your chances of getting each hand are a little greater, but since you share those community cards with your opponents, their chances of making the hand are the same. What it all boils down to is use these odds to assess your chances of making a hand and your opponent making a better one.  

# PlayersAAKKQQJJTT9988776655443322
288858279777471686563605755
376726864605652484543403734
468635854504643393633302622
744393430272523212019171615
1034302622201816141312111010

The table above shows the expected winning percentages of pocket pairs when the specified number of players plays to the end of the hand. Of course this may not always happen so the percentages may actually be a bit higher. Nevertheless, this table gives a good idea of how well you can expect to do with any pocket pair before you see any community cards.  

 

 
 
 
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